Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 52.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Gagner
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
76.5% (17)
57.0% (718)
+19.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
64.9% (188)
-36.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Gagner shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Gagner
Hertl
Home
75.0% (16)
59.2% (463)
Away
37.5% (8)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Gagner
Hertl
P1
25.0%
56.3%
P2
64.3%
55.4%
P3
83.3%
60.5%
Final 5 min
70.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%