Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 53.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 85.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Last 5: Draisaitl 5-0 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
52.2% (366)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
60.0% (15)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
46.2% (104)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Home
54.5% (778)
53.1% (258)
Away
55.3% (692)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Draisaitl
Lafferty
P1
54.6%
52.5%
P2
56.1%
49.7%
P3
53.3%
51.3%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |