Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 22-6 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 98.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 75.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 91.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
6
(28 meetings)
22
6
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
13
2
Draisaitl
Lafferty
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
3
Draisaitl
Lafferty
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Lafferty
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.0% (1,413)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
45.7% (46)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
43.5% (184)
+7.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Lafferty
Home
54.6% (7,049)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Draisaitl
Lafferty
P1
52.7%
49.4%
P2
53.6%
43.1%
P3
53.4%
49.8%
OT
57.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |