Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Hintz wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 52.6% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 69.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 88.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 67.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hintz
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hintz
Lafferty
Last 6: Hintz 2-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Hintz
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Hintz
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (526)
40.9% (232)
+12.0%
Power Play
57.4% (108)
100.0% (1)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (40)
40.0% (30)
+2.5%
On power play, Lafferty has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Hintz shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Hintz
Lafferty
Home
53.8% (329)
38.2% (123)
Away
52.2% (345)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Hintz
Lafferty
P1
55.6%
41.6%
P2
53.0%
36.7%
P3
51.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |