Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 70.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Lafferty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lafferty
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lafferty
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (232)
51.5% (641)
-10.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.8% (129)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
33.3% (9)
+6.7%
On power play, Lafferty has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lafferty shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Monahan
Home
38.2% (123)
53.9% (362)
Away
43.6% (140)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Lafferty
Monahan
P1
41.6%
48.0%
P2
36.7%
57.0%
P3
45.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
41.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |