Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lafferty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lafferty
Monahan
Last 7: Lafferty 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lafferty
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lafferty
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lafferty
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (324)
57.1% (871)
-14.5%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.1% (262)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
44.6% (139)
-0.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Lafferty shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Monahan
Home
40.9% (181)
55.3% (644)
Away
43.4% (175)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lafferty
Monahan
P1
42.2%
53.9%
P2
36.4%
55.3%
P3
48.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
42.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |