Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 65.5%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lafferty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lafferty
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lafferty
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (144)
52.4% (853)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.6% (174)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
46.5% (144)
+3.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Lafferty shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Monahan
Home
53.2% (62)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.9% (94)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lafferty
Monahan
P1
53.3%
53.7%
P2
46.7%
52.4%
P3
52.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.6%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%