Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.5% vs Aho 52.2% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 86.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 65.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lafferty
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (232)
51.6% (819)
-10.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.4% (173)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
46.3% (67)
-6.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lafferty shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Aho
Home
38.2% (123)
53.9% (568)
Away
43.6% (140)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Lafferty
Aho
P1
41.6%
55.4%
P2
36.7%
51.2%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%