Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 64.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Lafferty
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lafferty
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lafferty
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
0
Lafferty
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (144)
54.5% (870)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
62.4% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
37.1% (62)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Lafferty shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Aho
Home
53.2% (62)
53.9% (603)
Away
48.9% (94)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Lafferty
Aho
P1
53.3%
54.1%
P2
46.7%
55.0%
P3
52.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |