Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 63.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Lafferty
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lafferty
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lafferty
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (324)
51.2% (785)
-8.6%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
63.8% (213)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
57.9% (57)
-14.1%
On power play, Aho has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Lafferty shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Aho
Home
40.9% (181)
54.9% (548)
Away
43.4% (175)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Lafferty
Aho
P1
42.2%
52.8%
P2
36.4%
58.9%
P3
48.6%
50.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |