Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 50.5% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Reinhart
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Reinhart
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (259)
55.3% (628)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
55.1% (216)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
40.2% (87)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Reinhart shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Stamkos
Home
54.9% (235)
55.5% (499)
Away
46.3% (231)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Reinhart
Stamkos
P1
52.3%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |