Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 75.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 56.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Reinhart
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
49.3% (670)
-5.2%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
53.7% (121)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
33.3% (3)
+0.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Reinhart shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Stamkos
Home
40.5% (232)
54.0% (400)
Away
41.8% (282)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Reinhart
Stamkos
P1
46.4%
48.6%
P2
32.6%
54.5%
P3
45.4%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%