Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 69.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Reinhart
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Reinhart
Stamkos
Last 10: Reinhart 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
3
2
Reinhart
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
3
1
Reinhart
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Reinhart
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,173)
50.4% (9,799)
-7.9%
Power Play
46.5% (525)
55.1% (1,725)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (339)
49.7% (825)
-8.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Reinhart shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Stamkos
Home
44.9% (1,528)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
41.2% (1,509)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Reinhart
Stamkos
P1
44.5%
49.1%
P2
40.5%
52.7%
P3
44.5%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |