Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Steel 52.8% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 83.3%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 55.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 76.3%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Svechkov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Svechkov
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Svechkov
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Svechkov
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
56.9% (320)
-20.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
71.4% (7)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
37.0% (73)
-37.0%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Steel
Home
37.0% (181)
55.9% (202)
Away
36.4% (154)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Svechkov
Steel
P1
35.1%
55.5%
P2
44.4%
55.1%
P3
30.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%