Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.3% vs Steel 52.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 78.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 77.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 78.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Bjugstad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Bjugstad
Steel
Last 7: Bjugstad 0-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
5
Bjugstad
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Bjugstad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (238)
51.6% (401)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
66.7% (39)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Steel has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Bjugstad shoots right. Steel is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Steel
Home
48.9% (133)
55.8% (206)
Away
43.8% (137)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Bjugstad
Steel
P1
50.0%
57.0%
P2
40.6%
50.7%
P3
49.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |