Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 70.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 72.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 70.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Byfield
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Byfield
Steel
Last 5: Byfield 0-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Byfield
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Byfield
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
56.9% (320)
-12.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
71.4% (7)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
37.0% (73)
+1.2%
On power play, Steel has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Byfield
Steel
Home
43.8% (502)
55.9% (202)
Away
44.3% (440)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Byfield
Steel
P1
44.2%
55.5%
P2
43.0%
55.1%
P3
45.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |