Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Steel 52.8% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 76.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 71.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Strome
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Strome
Steel
Last 5: Strome 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Strome
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Strome
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
56.9% (320)
-15.7%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
71.4% (7)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
37.0% (73)
+14.4%
On power play, Steel has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Strome shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Strome
Steel
Home
40.1% (581)
55.9% (202)
Away
43.1% (645)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Strome
Steel
P1
41.4%
55.5%
P2
42.9%
55.1%
P3
40.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
40.1%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Sam Steel |