Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.7%). Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Steel 48.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 83.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 56.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Carrick
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carrick
Steel
Last 7: Carrick 2-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Carrick
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Carrick
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (307)
49.5% (553)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.3% (31)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (56)
30.6% (49)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
50.3% (175)
46.4% (347)
Away
48.5% (194)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
41.0%
52.1%
P2
51.2%
49.8%
P3
55.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
37.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |