Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Nosek 46.9% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Steel 50.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Steel
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
48.5% (66)
+4.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
100.0% (1)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
29.6% (27)
+10.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Steel
Nosek
Home
49.5% (109)
44.0% (25)
Away
51.7% (143)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Steel
Nosek
P1
49.5%
46.4%
P2
47.5%
34.2%
P3
56.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%