Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 67.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Steel
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Steel
Nosek
Last 10: Steel 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
5
3
Steel
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
4
Steel
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
5
6
Steel
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
54.9% (2,674)
-4.3%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
44.7% (47)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
47.4% (424)
-10.0%
On power play, Steel has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Steel shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Steel
Nosek
Home
50.0% (1,560)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Steel
Nosek
P1
51.9%
52.3%
P2
49.5%
54.0%
P3
49.6%
54.6%
OT
41.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |