Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steel wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 52.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 65.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Steel
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Steel
Nosek
Last 5: Steel 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
1
Steel
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (320)
53.0% (400)
+3.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
33.3% (12)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
45.5% (44)
-8.5%
On power play, Steel has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Steel shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Steel
Nosek
Home
55.9% (202)
49.6% (244)
Away
51.0% (198)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Steel
Nosek
P1
55.5%
53.1%
P2
55.1%
51.4%
P3
50.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
60.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sam Steel |