Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 44.5% vs Couturier 58.7% (-19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Stenlund
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stenlund
Couturier
Last 7: Stenlund 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Stenlund
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (125)
60.1% (669)
-20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.9% (133)
-10.9%
On even strength, Couturier has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Stenlund is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Stenlund shoots right. Couturier is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Couturier
Home
41.9% (62)
59.9% (484)
Away
38.8% (67)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Stenlund
Couturier
P1
54.8%
61.8%
P2
17.8%
57.4%
P3
51.2%
59.5%
OT
0.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
40.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |