Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Couturier 53.2% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 76.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Carlsson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carlsson
Couturier
Last 8: Carlsson 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Carlsson
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Carlsson
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
53.8% (1,003)
-19.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
56.4% (202)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
42.7% (89)
-2.7%
On even strength, Couturier has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Couturier
Home
38.6% (254)
54.4% (680)
Away
31.6% (307)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Carlsson
Couturier
P1
35.9%
56.3%
P2
33.8%
51.8%
P3
34.3%
52.2%
OT
44.4%
60.9%
Final 5 min
36.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |