Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Couturier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couturier
Kuraly
Last 6: Couturier 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Couturier
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
49.4% (445)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
100.0% (3)
-43.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
41.9% (117)
+0.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Couturier shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kuraly
Home
54.4% (680)
49.2% (248)
Away
52.4% (614)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Couturier
Kuraly
P1
56.3%
48.3%
P2
51.8%
44.7%
P3
52.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |