Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Couturier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Couturier
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Couturier
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
51.8% (444)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
45.3% (150)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Couturier shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kuraly
Home
50.7% (517)
54.6% (304)
Away
56.1% (538)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Couturier
Kuraly
P1
55.2%
55.2%
P2
53.0%
45.7%
P3
53.3%
49.5%
OT
42.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |