Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Couturier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Couturier
Kuraly
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
2
Couturier
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
6
Couturier
Kuraly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Couturier
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
51.5% (5,141)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
56.0% (100)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
44.2% (1,086)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Couturier shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kuraly
Home
53.4% (7,147)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Couturier
Kuraly
P1
52.5%
51.1%
P2
52.6%
49.9%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
OT
49.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |