Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Pinto 50.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 89.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 70.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Couturier
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Couturier
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Couturier
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Couturier
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
50.4% (779)
+4.7%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
55.2% (29)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
44.9% (78)
+8.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Couturier shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Couturier
Pinto
Home
58.1% (609)
52.4% (454)
Away
53.9% (586)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Couturier
Pinto
P1
55.3%
48.1%
P2
55.8%
52.9%
P3
57.4%
49.3%
OT
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |