Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Couturier wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Pinto 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 52.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 59.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Couturier
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Couturier
Pinto
Last 10: Couturier 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
8
2
Couturier
Pinto
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
8
Couturier
Pinto
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
7
Couturier
Pinto
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
50.6% (2,716)
+1.9%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
54.4% (90)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
44.9% (234)
+3.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Couturier shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Couturier
Pinto
Home
53.4% (7,147)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Couturier
Pinto
P1
52.5%
48.3%
P2
52.6%
51.7%
P3
52.9%
50.9%
OT
49.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |