Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Pinto 50.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 56.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Couturier
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Couturier
Pinto
Last 10: Couturier 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
0
Couturier
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
4
Couturier
Pinto
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Couturier
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
50.2% (520)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
68.0% (25)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
49.4% (89)
+1.3%
On power play, Pinto has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Couturier shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Couturier
Pinto
Home
50.7% (517)
48.8% (301)
Away
56.1% (538)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Couturier
Pinto
P1
55.2%
51.2%
P2
53.0%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
53.3%
OT
42.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |