Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Seguin 54.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Couturier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Couturier
Seguin
Last 7: Couturier 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (770)
55.1% (1,036)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.4% (69)
56.9% (174)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (162)
52.2% (230)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couturier is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Couturier shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Couturier
Seguin
Home
53.8% (452)
58.9% (703)
Away
52.1% (549)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Couturier
Seguin
P1
53.4%
54.5%
P2
52.8%
53.7%
P3
52.4%
57.0%
OT
52.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |