Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.6%). Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 71.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 60.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Couturier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Couturier
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
53.2% (201)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
60.0% (25)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
44.4% (9)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Couturier shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Couturier
Seguin
Home
50.7% (517)
56.3% (126)
Away
56.1% (538)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Couturier
Seguin
P1
55.2%
44.3%
P2
53.0%
52.1%
P3
53.3%
62.5%
OT
42.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |