Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 63.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Couturier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Couturier
Seguin
Last 5: Couturier 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Couturier
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
56.9% (478)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
57.4% (54)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
51.3% (76)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Couturier shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Couturier
Seguin
Home
54.4% (680)
57.4% (317)
Away
52.4% (614)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Couturier
Seguin
P1
56.3%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
60.4%
P3
52.2%
58.0%
OT
60.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |