Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (52% H2H, 21 meetings). Couturier wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 31-30 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 50.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Couturier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
31
(61 meetings)
30
31
Couturier
Seguin
Last 10: Couturier 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
11
Couturier
Seguin
21 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Couturier
Seguin
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
12
12
Couturier
Seguin
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.2%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
55.9% (810)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
49.3% (762)
-0.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Couturier shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Couturier
Seguin
Home
53.4% (7,147)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Couturier
Seguin
P1
52.5%
52.8%
P2
52.6%
53.3%
P3
52.9%
54.7%
OT
49.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |