Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 53.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 56.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Veleno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Veleno
Kuraly
Last 5: Veleno 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Veleno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
55.3% (515)
-8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.6% (9)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
44.8% (58)
-19.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kuraly
Home
47.8% (201)
57.3% (293)
Away
46.1% (228)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Veleno
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
47.9%
51.5%
P3
44.2%
57.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |