Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.6%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 89.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Hayes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Hayes
Kuraly
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Hayes
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Hayes
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.2% (901)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
68.2% (22)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
49.8% (219)
+8.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
50.8% (313)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.2% (363)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
52.3%
50.9%
P2
47.7%
49.5%
P3
48.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |