Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 56.1% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 55.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Couturier
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Couturier
Kuraly
Last 7: Couturier 2-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Couturier
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Couturier
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (532)
58.4% (310)
-2.8%
Power Play
66.1% (112)
66.7% (6)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (106)
53.0% (83)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Couturier is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Couturier shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kuraly
Home
63.3% (357)
57.1% (184)
Away
51.1% (393)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Couturier
Kuraly
P1
57.0%
56.0%
P2
55.3%
56.6%
P3
60.0%
58.0%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |