Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.2% vs Pinto 50.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 57.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kuraly
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (370)
49.7% (380)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (127)
49.3% (73)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
52.8% (269)
47.5% (244)
Away
44.7% (228)
53.8% (234)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
53.2%
51.6%
P2
45.8%
50.0%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Pinto
44.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |