Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Pinto 50.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kuraly
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Kuraly
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
51.2% (463)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
36.8% (19)
+5.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
49.2% (248)
52.2% (205)
Away
47.3% (317)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
48.3%
48.7%
P2
44.7%
51.8%
P3
51.7%
51.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |