Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Pinto 50.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 53.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 56.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 53.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
50.4% (779)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.2% (29)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
44.9% (78)
-0.1%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
57.3% (293)
52.4% (454)
Away
51.2% (289)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
53.8%
48.1%
P2
51.5%
52.9%
P3
57.6%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |