Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.8%). Kuraly wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Pinto 50.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 63.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kuraly
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
50.2% (520)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
49.4% (89)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
54.6% (304)
48.8% (301)
Away
45.5% (290)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
55.2%
51.2%
P2
45.7%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |