Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Kuraly
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kuraly
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kuraly
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Kuraly
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
49.3% (789)
+3.0%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
56.9% (181)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
54.1% (98)
-14.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Stamkos
Home
50.3% (680)
52.0% (512)
Away
48.5% (590)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Kuraly
Stamkos
P1
49.5%
42.1%
P2
49.6%
56.4%
P3
49.0%
53.7%
OT
57.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |