Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Thompson 41.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 67.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kuraly
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuraly
Thompson
Last 5: Kuraly 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
1
Kuraly
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
40.6% (801)
+11.7%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
44.7% (103)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
31.0% (71)
+8.2%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Thompson
Home
50.3% (680)
43.2% (507)
Away
48.5% (590)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Kuraly
Thompson
P1
49.5%
37.7%
P2
49.6%
43.4%
P3
49.0%
39.5%
OT
57.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |