Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Thompson 43.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kuraly
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuraly
Thompson
Last 5: Kuraly 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kuraly
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Kuraly
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
43.3% (735)
+5.9%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
50.0% (26)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
36.5% (52)
+13.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Kuraly shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Thompson
Home
51.7% (603)
44.5% (407)
Away
47.3% (539)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Kuraly
Thompson
P1
50.9%
44.4%
P2
49.5%
44.8%
P3
49.1%
40.2%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |