Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Jost 45.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kuraly
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kuraly
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
39.3% (84)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
50.0% (6)
-4.7%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Kuraly shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Jost
Home
54.6% (304)
38.5% (52)
Away
45.5% (290)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Kuraly
Jost
P1
55.2%
40.6%
P2
45.7%
38.9%
P3
49.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |