Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Jost 47.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 82.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 57.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kuraly
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kuraly
Jost
Last 7: Kuraly 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Kuraly
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
45.7% (116)
+9.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
37.5% (8)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
50.0% (2)
-5.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Jost
Home
57.3% (293)
39.7% (68)
Away
51.2% (289)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Kuraly
Jost
P1
53.8%
40.5%
P2
51.5%
47.9%
P3
57.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |