Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Jost 42.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 66.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Kuraly
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kuraly
Jost
Last 7: Kuraly 4-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Kuraly
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
2
Kuraly
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
40.8% (314)
+11.5%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
37.5% (8)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
39.4% (104)
-0.2%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Jost
Home
50.3% (680)
42.8% (264)
Away
48.5% (590)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Kuraly
Jost
P1
49.5%
37.4%
P2
49.6%
40.5%
P3
49.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |