Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Jost 40.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 62.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 73.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Kuraly
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Kuraly
Jost
Last 10: Kuraly 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Kuraly
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
3
Kuraly
Jost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
3
Kuraly
Jost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
41.0% (2,014)
+10.5%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
34.2% (73)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
35.3% (255)
+8.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Jost
Home
51.9% (3,187)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Kuraly
Jost
P1
51.1%
38.5%
P2
49.9%
41.2%
P3
50.0%
40.9%
OT
52.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |