Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Kozak 47.8% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Kuraly
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
46.0% (137)
+9.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
66.7% (3)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
40.0% (5)
+4.8%
On power play, Kozak has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Kozak
Home
57.3% (293)
51.2% (84)
Away
51.2% (289)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Kuraly
Kozak
P1
53.8%
57.1%
P2
51.5%
34.7%
P3
57.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%