Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Kozak 48.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 58.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Kuraly
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kuraly
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
48.3% (431)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
62.5% (8)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
48.9% (45)
-4.7%
On power play, Kozak has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Kozak
Home
51.9% (3,187)
47.6% (229)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Kuraly
Kozak
P1
51.1%
54.4%
P2
49.9%
45.7%
P3
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |