Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.6%). Kuraly wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Kozak 49.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Kuraly
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kuraly
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Kuraly
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
49.3% (294)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
50.0% (40)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Kuraly shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Kozak
Home
54.6% (304)
45.5% (145)
Away
45.5% (290)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Kuraly
Kozak
P1
55.2%
53.4%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |